Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's game. Jackson Holliday has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Jordan Westburg has hit 39.6% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of 100 mph or faster. In notching a .275 batting average this year, Jordan Westburg has performed in the 81st percentile.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive talent to be a .329, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .017 deviation between that figure and his actual .312 wOBA.

Colson Montgomery is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Colson Montgomery's 97.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 96th percentile this year.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brooks Baldwin will hold that advantage today. Brooks Baldwin has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph mark. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brooks Baldwin's 34.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%. Brooks Baldwin has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is a good deal lower than his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Colton Cowser has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colton Cowser's true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .040 gap between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Edgar Quero has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Edgar Quero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Edgar Quero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 14.4% on the season to 21.4% in the last two weeks. Edgar Quero has put up a .336 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today. Andrew Benintendi will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Andrew Benintendi's launch angle from last year's 15.9° to 20.1° this season.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Mike Tauchman has recorded a .336 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Dylan Beavers's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Beavers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.

Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 93-mph in the past week. Samuel Basallo has been hot of late, posting a a 13% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past two weeks. Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Samuel Basallo has experienced some negative variance given the .054 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 89th percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This year, Jeremiah Jackson's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph. Jeremiah Jackson has compiled a .289 batting average this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Dylan Carlson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 95-mph in the past 14 days. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Carlson's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.8%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this season (23.6°) is a significant increase over his 20° figure last year. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler O'Neill has been unlucky this year. His .305 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .353.

Kyle Teel's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Kyle Teel will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Kyle Teel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Chase Meidroth has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage today. Chase Meidroth has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Lenyn Sosa has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games. Lenyn Sosa's launch angle this season (18.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.4° mark last year. In the past week, Lenyn Sosa's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%.