Chicago @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Jared Triolo's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jared Triolo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage today.

PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Alexander Canario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year with his .274 actual wOBA. This year, Alexander Canario's 13.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Horton in today's game. Jack Suwinski will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Last year, Jack Suwinski had an average launch angle of 8.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 23.2°.

PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Paul Skenes today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his .231 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cade Horton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Dansby Swanson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.3-mph in the last two weeks. Despite posting a .311 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck given the .020 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Matt Shaw has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.5° mark in the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Matt Shaw has been unlucky this year with his .223 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 12th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.4-mph average.

PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Henry Davis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Henry Davis has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side this year. His .224 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .300.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.