Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Coby Mayo's 20.5° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 89th percentile.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive skill to be a .329, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .017 disparity between that mark and his actual .312 wOBA.

Emmanuel Rivera has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) may lead us to conclude that Emmanuel Rivera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. There has been a significant improvement in Tyler O'Neill's launch angle from last season's 20° to 23.6° this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.353) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O'Neill has had bad variance on his side this year with his .305 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. Colton Cowser has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Colton Cowser has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle this year (20.1°) is significantly better than his 15.9° mark last season.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Jeremiah Jackson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Jeremiah Jackson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 78th percentile this year. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Jeremiah Jackson has put up a .291 batting average this year.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Lenyn Sosa has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games. Lenyn Sosa's launch angle this season (18.4°) is considerably better than his 12.4° mark last season.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand today. Jackson Holliday has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Kyle Teel will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Teel will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Chase Meidroth has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Chase Meidroth will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Chase Meidroth's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.57 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile. With a .270 batting average this year, Chase Meidroth grades out in the 77th percentile.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand today. Mike Tauchman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mike Tauchman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Placing in the 92nd percentile, Mike Tauchman has notched a .337 BABIP this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Burke today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Will Robertson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Robertson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Will Robertson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Dylan Beavers will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Burke today. Dylan Beavers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

Samuel Basallo will have the handedness advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Samuel Basallo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. In the last 14 days, Samuel Basallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 13%.

Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery's 97.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 96th percentile this year.