Tampa Bay @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Carson Williams will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 14th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Chandler Simpson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Josh Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past two weeks.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Willi Castro has had some very poor luck this year with his .232 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Adrian Houser today.

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Matt Shaw has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.7° figure over the last 14 days.

Nick Fortes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Everson Pereira will have an edge in today's game.

Jake Mangum's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Jake Mangum usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Owen Caissie will have an advantage today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Owen Caissie has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 12th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand today. Reese McGuire is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Moises Ballesteros's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Moises Ballesteros will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.