Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in today's matchup... and moreover, McLean has a large platoon split. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Higashioka tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Jose Siri will have an advantage in today's game. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Josh Jung has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cody Freeman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .254 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Michael Helman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. In the last week, Michael Helman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 23.1%.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Jeff McNeil's 67.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his strong side against Jake Latz in today's game. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Alejandro Osuna will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Alejandro Osuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Alejandro Osuna has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is deflated compared to his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Latz in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 81°. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Latz in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.