Pittsburgh @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. This season, Joey Bart has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.8 mph compared to last year's 93 mph mark. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 51.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 10th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Over the past 14 days, Nick Yorke has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oneil Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .351, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .053 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .298 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.9°, Dylan Crews has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 19.8° figure over the past two weeks. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 BA is a good deal lower than his .237 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Robert Hassell III's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Robert Hassell III will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Jared Triolo's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jacob Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.3-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Brady House has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brady House has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.3-mph over the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Tommy Pham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Michael Burrows in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Cade Cavalli today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 10th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. In the last week, Cam Devanney's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph lately. Over the past week, Cam Devanney has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power). Cam Devanney has been lifting the ball well lately, posting a 30.9° launch angle over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Michael Burrows. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Nasim Nunez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Michael Burrows in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nasim Nunez will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nasim Nunez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .289 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 19.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's game. Ji Hwan Bae has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) implies that Ji Hwan Bae has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .205 actual wOBA.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Riley Adams has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 95.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.