Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 19.6%. J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .262 mark is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Rengifo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Compared to last year, Luis Rengifo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.4% to 46.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Farris today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Josh Naylor's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Josh Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Josh Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.3° figure in the last 7 days. Josh Naylor has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 83rd percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. Yoan Moncada pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Taylor Ward has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. As it relates to his batting average, Taylor Ward has been unlucky this year. His .224 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 20th-best hitter in MLB. Mike Trout is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Mike Trout's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 50.5% on the season to 71.4% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. Jorge Polanco has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Farris in today's game. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Victor Robles's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.2%.

Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Farris in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mitch Garver's 96.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 93rd percentile this year. Mitch Garver's 19.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 85th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Farris today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Oswald Peraza has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .217 figure is a good deal lower than his .261 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Julio Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Farris in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Zach Neto has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.5% rate last season to 14.9% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Mitch Farris. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jo Adell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Jo Adell has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.8% rate last year to 18.9% this year.

Bryce Teodosio has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Bryce Teodosio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 13.3%. Bryce Teodosio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.7% on the season to 43.8% in the past week.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Sebastian Rivero has been hot of late, posting a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past week. In the past week's worth of games, Sebastian Rivero's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 55.6% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.