Tampa Bay @ Chicago Picks & Props

As it relates to his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 14th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an edge in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Placing in the 95th percentile, Jake Mangum has put up a .294 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 43.8% to 49.1%.

Carson Williams's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carson Williams has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. Carson Williams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.8% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. In the past 14 days, Brandon Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Josh Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Josh Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today. Nico Hoerner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.4-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. Carson Kelly has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Robert Seymour will have the upper hand in today's game.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hunter Feduccia will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. Hunter Feduccia has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Feduccia has had some very poor luck this year. His .222 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Shaw has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 84.6-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Matt Shaw has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.2° figure over the past 14 days.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Extreme flyball batters like Seiya Suzuki tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Last year, Yandy Diaz had an average launch angle of 1.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.4°. By putting up a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Yandy Diaz is ranked in the 94th percentile.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Richie Palacios will have an edge in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Richie Palacios has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .307 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Richie Palacios has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.41 K/BB rate.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 44.5% on the season to 60% in the past 14 days. As it relates to his batting average, Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Moises Ballesteros will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Moises Ballesteros stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Moises Ballesteros will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.