Pittsburgh @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Henry Davis will have the upper hand in today's game. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) provides evidence that Henry Davis has had some very poor luck this year with his .228 actual wOBA.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Dylan Crews has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 15% on the season to 25% over the last 14 days. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .203 BA is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge in today's game. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the league, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 50.3%.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Cam Devanney will have the upper hand today. Cam Devanney has been hot recently, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last week's worth of games. Cam Devanney has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 33° launch angle over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the league, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's game. Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his good side against Bubba Chandler today. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Nick Yorke will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Brady House has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Brady House has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.1-mph in the past two weeks.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Alexander Canario will have an advantage today. Alexander Canario has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .273 figure is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alexander Canario's 13.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 87th percentile this year.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Liover Peguero will have an edge in today's game. Liover Peguero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Liover Peguero is very athletic, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.15 ft/sec this year.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Jorge Alfaro has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jorge Alfaro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jorge Alfaro has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° 75% of the time in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 97.7-mph in the past week. Over the last week, Riley Adams's 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.