Tampa Bay @ Chicago Picks & Props

TB vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Chicago hands the ball to left-hander Matthew Boyd, who looks to cement the best season of his professional career. Through 28 starts, Boyd is 12-8 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.

His underlying metrics are equally impressive. Entering this matchup, Boyd ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.

Meanwhile, right-hander Shane Baz takes the mound for Tampa. He also ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.

Both bullpens are capable of closing the deal in this contest. This season, both relief corps rank in the top half of the league in ERA, xERA, FIP, and xFIP.

Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carson Kelly is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.. Carson Kelly has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 50% in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Christopher Morel logo
Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Matthew Boyd logo
Matthew Boyd u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. With 7 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Matthew Boyd will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Matthew Boyd has been lucky this year, posting a 2.92 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.88 — a 0.96 deviation.. Tampa Bay's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #8 squad in baseball this year by this standard.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Carson Williams logo
Carson Williams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Carson Williams will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Williams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-164)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 6th-worst venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. In the league, Wrigley Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. In the past week, Michael Busch's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Richie Palacios logo
Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. In terms of plate discipline, Richie Palacios's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Everson Pereira logo
Everson Pereira o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Everson Pereira's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Everson Pereira will have an edge today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.
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TB vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Chi. Cubs

34%
66%

Total PicksTB 195, CHC 378

Moneyline
TB
CHC
Moneyline

TB vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Josh Lowe
J. Lowe
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Josh Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Josh Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Josh Lowe logo

Josh Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Josh Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Josh Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Richie Palacios
R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. In terms of plate discipline, Richie Palacios's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Richie Palacios logo

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. In terms of plate discipline, Richie Palacios's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Everson Pereira
E. Pereira
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Everson Pereira's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Everson Pereira will have an edge today.

Everson Pereira logo

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Everson Pereira's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Everson Pereira will have an edge today.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Chandler Simpson has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Chandler Simpson has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Brandon Lowe has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Brandon Lowe has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jake Mangum is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 38.4% on the season to 63% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jake Mangum is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 38.4% on the season to 63% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand today. Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph mark.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand today. Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph mark.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Shane Baz. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his .230 actual batting average.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Shane Baz. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his .230 actual batting average.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage today.

Carson Williams Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Carson Williams
C. Williams
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Carson Williams will have the upper hand in today's game. Carson Williams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Carson Williams logo

Carson Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Carson Williams will have the upper hand in today's game. Carson Williams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Shane Baz in this game.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Shane Baz in this game.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carson Kelly is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carson Kelly is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.

Christopher Morel logo

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Shaw has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph to 87.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Shaw has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph to 87.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.

Moises Ballesteros Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Moises Ballesteros
M. Ballesteros
designated hitter DH • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Moises Ballesteros's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have the upper hand in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Moises Ballesteros can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Moises Ballesteros logo

Moises Ballesteros

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Moises Ballesteros's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have the upper hand in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Moises Ballesteros can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
All Rays Money Leaders

Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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