Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Michael Helman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Michael Helman has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.4 mph.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Josh Jung has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.2% over the past 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Tong in today's matchup. Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Over the past week, Alejandro Osuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) may lead us to conclude that Alejandro Osuna has suffered from bad luck this year with his .254 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Tong today. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Josh Smith has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 1.71 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jake Burger has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Wyatt Langford has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the last 7 days.

Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Cedric Mullins has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past 14 days.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last 14 days, Joc Pederson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°.