Pittsburgh @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Robert Hassell III will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Robert Hassell III will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In the past week's worth of games, Spencer Horwitz's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Brad Lord in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Oneil Cruz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .052 difference.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance this year. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Jared Triolo's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jared Triolo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .296 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Ji Hwan Bae has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ji Hwan Bae has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .203 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Brad Lord. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Tommy Pham's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Tommy Pham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. Luis Garcia Jr. is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. In the last week, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph in recent games.

Dylan Crews has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 14.6% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year. His .205 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Brady House has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 93.8-mph over the last 14 days. Brady House's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 17% on the season to 36.4% over the last week.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Cam Devanney has been lifting the ball well lately, notching a 50° launch angle in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Mitch Keller in this game. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Riley Adams has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 98.4-mph over the past week.

Alexander Canario has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.