St. Louis @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nathan Church will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Nathan Church has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Nolan Gorman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph figure. In the last week, Nolan Gorman's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 94.9-mph in the last 7 days. Thomas Saggese has put up a .344 BABIP this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that Cole Young has had bad variance on his side this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Lars Nootbaar's launch angle this year (16.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.9° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Ivan Herrera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. This season, Ivan Herrera has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98 mph compared to last year's 91.5 mph mark. Ivan Herrera has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 107.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 98-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. There has been a significant improvement in Masyn Winn's launch angle from last year's 13° to 16.2° this season. Masyn Winn's launch angle in recent games (24° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 16.2° seasonal angle.

Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael McGreevy who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Ranked in the 79th percentile, Alec Burleson has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB this year (91.1-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael McGreevy who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph average.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Victor Scott II has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week, Victor Scott II's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.5%. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has suffered from bad luck this year. His .221 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy today. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Pedro Pages has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Pedro Pages's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.