Pittsburgh @ Baltimore Picks & Props

In the last week, Cam Devanney has posted a 50° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Dylan Beavers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dylan Beavers stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Dylan Beavers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game. Colton Cowser is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Colton Cowser will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage today. Dylan Carlson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure. Dylan Carlson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (23.2°) is considerably better than his 19.7° angle last season.

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Coby Mayo's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Oneil Cruz usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Wells.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ryan Mountcastle will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes today. Jackson Holliday has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph lately. Andrew McCutchen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 13.8% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance this year with his .233 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Tommy Pham with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Wells who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Tommy Pham has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last 14 days.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Tyler Wells. In the last week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .296 mark is a fair amount lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jared Triolo has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 84th percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.

Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Samuel Basallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Samuel Basallo may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Samuel Basallo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Spencer Horwitz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Spencer Horwitz's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the past 14 days.

Emmanuel Rivera has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Emmanuel Rivera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 50% on the season to 61.5% in the last 14 days. Emmanuel Rivera has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 rate is a good deal lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Daniel Johnson has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.