Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

WAS vs MIA Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have an edge today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.8-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year with his .199 actual batting average.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Adam Mazur today.. Josh Bell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side this year with his .312 actual wOBA.
Total RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Paul DeJong has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur is a pitch-to-contact type (9th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.. Paul DeJong's launch angle this year (23.2°) is considerably higher than his 20° angle last year.. The standard deviation of Paul DeJong's launch angle this year (26°) is in the 75th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.. In terms of power, Paul DeJong has performed in the 77th percentile, having averaged 21.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today.. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have an edge today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.8-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have an edge today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.8-mph EV.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #24 park in the majors for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Over the last 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 88.3 mph.. Heriberto Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 37.9% on the season to 30.4% in the last two weeks.. Heriberto Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .260 figure is inflated compared to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Compared to last year, CJ Abrams has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.6% to 18.2% this season.. In the past week's worth of games, CJ Abrams's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year with his .199 actual batting average.
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WAS vs MIA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

68% picking Washington vs Miami to go Over

68%
32%

Total PicksWAS 237, MIA 114

Total
Over
Under

WAS vs MIA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have an edge today. James Wood has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.8-mph EV. James Wood has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.8-mph average to last season's 96.6-mph mark.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have an edge today. James Wood has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.8-mph EV. James Wood has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.8-mph average to last season's 96.6-mph mark.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #21 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team today. Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 9.1° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #21 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team today. Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 9.1° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph average. Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 figure is quite a bit lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph average. Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 figure is quite a bit lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year with his .199 actual batting average.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year with his .199 actual batting average.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Adam Mazur today. Josh Bell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Adam Mazur today. Josh Bell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an edge in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Robert Hassell III has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Robert Hassell III has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an edge in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Robert Hassell III has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Robert Hassell III has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to last year, CJ Abrams has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.6% to 18.2% this season. In the past week's worth of games, CJ Abrams's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to last year, CJ Abrams has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.6% to 18.2% this season. In the past week's worth of games, CJ Abrams's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daylen Lile's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.5% on the season to 29.4% in the past 7 days. In notching a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Daylen Lile finds himself in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daylen Lile's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.5% on the season to 29.4% in the past 7 days. In notching a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Daylen Lile finds himself in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his batting average, Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .248 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .286.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his batting average, Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .248 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .286.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 27.3%.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 27.3%.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Eric Wagaman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eric Wagaman's true offensive talent to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Eric Wagaman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eric Wagaman's true offensive talent to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brady House has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure. Brady House has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .239 rate is quite a bit lower than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .319 BABIP this year, Brady House is ranked in the 78th percentile.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brady House has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure. Brady House has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .239 rate is quite a bit lower than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .319 BABIP this year, Brady House is ranked in the 78th percentile.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jakob Marsee will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jakob Marsee's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%. Jakob Marsee has posted a .409 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 99th percentile. Jakob Marsee has compiled a .319 batting average this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jakob Marsee will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jakob Marsee's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%. Jakob Marsee has posted a .409 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 99th percentile. Jakob Marsee has compiled a .319 batting average this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274. Sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274. Sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wiemer
J. Wiemer
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Joey Wiemer will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Wiemer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Joey Wiemer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 33.3%. Joey Wiemer has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 96.3-mph in the last 7 days.

Joey Wiemer logo

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Joey Wiemer will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Wiemer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Joey Wiemer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 33.3%. Joey Wiemer has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 96.3-mph in the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders
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