St. Louis @ Seattle Picks & Props

Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today. Cole Young has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.7% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Cole Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Crooks in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, James Crooks will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. James Crooks has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 55.6% of the time over the last week.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Nolan Gorman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 20.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jordan Walker has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 18.5% over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Jordan Walker has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.3° angle over the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has recorded a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Masyn Winn has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph.

Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Fermin has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .255 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .275.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Thomas Saggese has put up a .344 BABIP this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Leonardo Rivas's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Leonardo Rivas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leonardo Rivas has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.82 K/BB rate. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Leonardo Rivas sports a .271 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Victor Robles has notched a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile. Victor Robles has posted a .313 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Cal Raleigh has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.2 mph compared to last year's 94.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive ability to be a .359, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .019 gap between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .278.

Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Victor Scott II will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Victor Scott II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Victor Scott II has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.6-mph. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott II has had bad variance on his side this year. His .284 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge today. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Ivan Herrera has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game. Jorge Polanco has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark. Sporting a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Eugenio Suarez has performed in the 88th percentile.

Pedro Pages has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.