Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's game. James Wood has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.7-mph mark. James Wood has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last year's 96.6-mph average.

Brady House's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brady House has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) may lead us to conclude that Brady House has had bad variance on his side this year with his .242 actual batting average. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Brady House has put up a .323 BABIP this year.

LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Andres Chaparro has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week. Andres Chaparro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 9.1% on the season to 20% in the last 7 days.

The #10 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 9° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Dylan Crews has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .197 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, CJ Abrams has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32.8° figure in the past week. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Robert Hassell III will have the upper hand today. Robert Hassell III hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Robert Hassell III has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week. Robert Hassell III has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 96-mph in the last week.

Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game. Daylen Lile's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.8% on the season to 26.1% in the last two weeks. As it relates to his batting average, Daylen Lile has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .302.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

Victor Mesa will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Mesa will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Janson Junk. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark. Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .296 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 95.2-mph in the last week's worth of games. Heriberto Hernandez has posted a .332 BABIP this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Cade Cavalli in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Adams has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 21.3% on the season to 32.1% in the last two weeks.

Paul DeJong's launch angle this year (23.2°) is a considerable increase over his 20° angle last season. The standard deviation of Paul DeJong's launch angle this year (26°) is in the 75th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. Sporting a .319 batting average this year, Jakob Marsee is positioned in the 98th percentile.

Troy Johnston will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today. Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.8-mph.