New York @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Francisco Alvarez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Barrel% of Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12% this season. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Brett Baty is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Starling Marte has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 92.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.3% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Pete Alonso has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 19.2% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. Jeff McNeil will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP. Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brandon Sproat. Elly De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Sal Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. The 5th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Spencer Steer will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.9°) is a significant increase over his 11.5° figure last year.