Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

WAS vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Pomeranz logo
Drew Pomeranz u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-104)
Projection 1.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Drew Pomeranz is projected to throw 17 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Josh Bell has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.3-mph over the last week.. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 14.5% on the season to 36.4% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 26.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an edge today.. Andres Chaparro has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Andres Chaparro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 9.1% on the season to 20% over the last 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Pomeranz in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV.. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year. His .197 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Justin Turner logo
Justin Turner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez.. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 19.1% to 24.4%.
Outs Recorded
AA
Andrew Alvarez u14.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 13.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Andrew Alvarez is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers today.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.. With 9 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Andrew Alvarez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.. Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Andrew Alvarez (48.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Chicago's projected lineup.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Alvarez today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Robert Hassell III logo
Robert Hassell III o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Robert Hassell III's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the past week, Robert Hassell III's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 16.7%.. Robert Hassell III has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark.. In the last week's worth of games, Robert Hassell III's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.. Robert Hassell III has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .254 figure is quite a bit lower than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 26.7%.
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WAS vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking Chi. Cubs

33%
67%

Total PicksWAS 92, CHC 183

Moneyline
WAS
CHC

WAS vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Robert Hassell III's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. In the past week, Robert Hassell III's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 16.7%. Robert Hassell III has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark. In the last week's worth of games, Robert Hassell III's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Robert Hassell III's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. In the past week, Robert Hassell III's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 16.7%. Robert Hassell III has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark. In the last week's worth of games, Robert Hassell III's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. James Wood has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 100.1-mph in the last two weeks.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. James Wood has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 100.1-mph in the last two weeks.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Pomeranz in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year. His .197 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Pomeranz in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck this year. His .197 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Justin Turner
J. Turner
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today. Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Justin Turner logo

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today. Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his batting average, Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck this year. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his batting average, Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck this year. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his .229 actual batting average.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his .229 actual batting average.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Andrew Alvarez today. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana logo

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Andrew Alvarez today. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Daylen Lile's 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%. Daylen Lile has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 BA is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Daylen Lile's 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%. Daylen Lile has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 BA is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph average. In the last two weeks, Luis Garcia Jr.'s 51.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph average. In the last two weeks, Luis Garcia Jr.'s 51.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington

Andres Chaparro
A. Chaparro
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an edge today. Andres Chaparro has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Andres Chaparro logo

Andres Chaparro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an edge today. Andres Chaparro has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Kevin Alcantara Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kevin Alcantara
K. Alcantara
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Kevin Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez today. Kevin Alcantara will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kevin Alcantara logo

Kevin Alcantara

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Kevin Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez today. Kevin Alcantara will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Brady House will have an edge today. Brady House has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94-mph in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) provides evidence that Brady House has suffered from bad luck this year with his .242 actual batting average.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Brady House will have an edge today. Brady House has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94-mph in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) provides evidence that Brady House has suffered from bad luck this year with his .242 actual batting average.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Josh Bell has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.3-mph over the last week. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 14.5% on the season to 36.4% over the past 7 days.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Josh Bell has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.3-mph over the last week. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 14.5% on the season to 36.4% over the past 7 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, CJ Abrams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.8° figure over the last 7 days. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 18.4%.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, CJ Abrams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.8° figure over the last 7 days. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 18.4%.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 4th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an edge in today's game. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an edge in today's game. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Riley Adams is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Riley Adams will have an advantage in today's game. Riley Adams has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 87.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Riley Adams is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Riley Adams will have an advantage in today's game. Riley Adams has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 87.9-mph over the past 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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