Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Victor Mesa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game. Max Kepler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Max Kepler's launch angle lately (40° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16° seasonal figure. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Max Kepler has had bad variance on his side this year. His .296 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Connor Norby has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .294 mark is a good deal lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Connor Norby has notched a .322 BABIP this year.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Eric Wagaman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Valente Bellozo today. Bryson Stott's launch angle of late (24.9° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 15.9° seasonal angle. Compared to last year, Bryson Stott has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.2% to 19.2% this season. Bryson Stott has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 81st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.3% to 18.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.287) provides evidence that Bryce Harper has been unlucky this year with his .265 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Posting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 90th percentile. Alec Bohm has posted a .277 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. J.T. Realmuto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .333, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .016 difference between that figure and his actual .317 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Trea Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Trea Turner sports a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. The standard deviation of Joey Wiemer's launch angle has been very consistent of late (36.8° in the last 7 days), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Harrison Bader has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Harrison Bader has notched a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Ranking in the 91st percentile, Harrison Bader has put up a .341 BABIP this year.

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Jakob Marsee's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 46.6% to 52.4%. In the past 7 days, Brandon Marsh's 81.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.4%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.6% rate last year to 20.8% this season. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle this season (19.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.9° mark last year.

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Heriberto Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Heriberto Hernandez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.