Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of the day. Luis Garcia Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (0° over the past week) is quite a bit lower than his 8.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Robert Hassell III's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Dylan Crews has experienced some negative variance this year. His .202 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brady House has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today. Brady House has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark. As it relates to his batting average, Brady House has had bad variance on his side this year. His .239 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Victor Mesa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph EV. Over the past 14 days, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.6-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph of late.

Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Heriberto Hernandez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 112.8 mph this year, checking in at the 84th percentile. With a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Heriberto Hernandez finds himself in the 77th percentile. Heriberto Hernandez has posted a .342 BABIP this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Cade Cavalli in this game. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) implies that Agustin Ramirez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .231 actual batting average. Grading out in the 97th percentile, the hardest ball Agustin Ramirez has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Adam Mazur. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's matchup. Liam Hicks has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Liam Hicks and his 20.8% rank in the 98th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Paul DeJong's launch angle from last year's 20° to 23.3° this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Paul DeJong's 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge today. Jakob Marsee has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 15% on the season to 30% in the past 7 days. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 115.4 mph this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Otto Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Last year, Otto Lopez had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 11.1°.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Connor Norby has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year. His .291 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Troy Johnston will have an advantage in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Over the last 7 days, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph lately.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.

Javier Sanoja has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.