Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

MIA vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Paul DeJong is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23.3°) is significantly better than his 20° angle last year.. In terms of power, Paul DeJong finds himself in the 80th percentile, having paced 22.7 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Crews usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar.. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .201 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.
Total RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Over the last 14 days, Eric Wagaman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 17.4%.. Eric Wagaman's launch angle recently (23.8° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 10.5° seasonal figure.
Total RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Agustin Ramirez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams u1.5 Total Bases (-155)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Adams in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Paul DeJong is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23.3°) is significantly better than his 20° angle last year.. In terms of power, Paul DeJong finds himself in the 80th percentile, having paced 22.7 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 10th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andres Chaparro has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate today at 38%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
CJ Stubbs logo
CJ Stubbs o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and C.J. Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Derek Hill logo
Derek Hill o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Derek Hill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.
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MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

60% picking Miami

60%
40%

Total PicksMIA 204, WAS 136

Moneyline
MIA
WAS
Moneyline

MIA vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Over the last 14 days, Eric Wagaman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 17.4%. Eric Wagaman's launch angle recently (23.8° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 10.5° seasonal figure.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Over the last 14 days, Eric Wagaman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 17.4%. Eric Wagaman's launch angle recently (23.8° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 10.5° seasonal figure.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Javier Sanoja will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .245 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Javier Sanoja will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .245 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Lake Bachar throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage in today's game. Robert Hassell III is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Robert Hassell III generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Lake Bachar throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage in today's game. Robert Hassell III is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Robert Hassell III generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wiemer
J. Wiemer
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Joey Wiemer will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Joey Wiemer has been hot recently, posting a 93.1-mph average exit velocity in the past week.

Joey Wiemer logo

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Joey Wiemer will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Joey Wiemer has been hot recently, posting a 93.1-mph average exit velocity in the past week.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23.3°) is significantly better than his 20° angle last year.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23.3°) is significantly better than his 20° angle last year.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Lake Bachar in today's game. James Wood will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Lake Bachar in today's game. James Wood will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami

Derek Hill
D. Hill
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Derek Hill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.

Derek Hill logo

Derek Hill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Derek Hill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Crews usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .201 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Crews usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .201 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .231 BA is a good deal lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .231 BA is a good deal lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Jakob Marsee has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Jakob Marsee has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Xavier Edwards has notched a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Xavier Edwards has notched a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington

Andres Chaparro
A. Chaparro
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Andres Chaparro pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage today.

Andres Chaparro logo

Andres Chaparro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Andres Chaparro pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage today.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Brady House has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brady House has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 94.9-mph in the past 14 days. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brady House has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Brady House has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brady House has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 94.9-mph in the past 14 days. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brady House has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lake Bachar today. CJ Abrams is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lake Bachar today. CJ Abrams is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Lake Bachar today. Luis Garcia Jr. will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Lake Bachar today. Luis Garcia Jr. will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Lake Bachar in this game. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Lake Bachar in this game. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lake Bachar.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Lake Bachar in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Lake Bachar in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Heriberto Hernandez sits with a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Posting a .270 batting average this year, Heriberto Hernandez has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Heriberto Hernandez sits with a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Posting a .270 batting average this year, Heriberto Hernandez has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Riley Adams is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

CJ Stubbs Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Stubbs
C. Stubbs
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and C.J. Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

CJ Stubbs logo

CJ Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and C.J. Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Troy Johnston Total Hits Props • Miami

Troy Johnston
T. Johnston
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Troy Johnston has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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