Tampa Bay @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Brady House will have an edge today. Brady House has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today. Brady House has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 94.9-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 13.3%.

When estimating his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game. James Wood has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Over the last 7 days, Everson Pereira's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 107.6-mph lately. Everson Pereira's launch angle of late (43° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 21.4° seasonal mark. Everson Pereira has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the past week.

Robert Seymour is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 9th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. Robert Seymour will hold the platoon advantage against Brad Lord today. Robert Seymour has been hot in recent games, posting a 92.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games. Robert Seymour has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 21.4% of the time in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 9th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Daylen Lile has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Daylen Lile has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.2° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Dylan Crews will have an edge today. Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Riley Adams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today's game. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 44.4%. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 97.3-mph.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Utilizing Statcast data, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 100th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .308.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Jacob Young has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 87.5 mph compared to last year's 84.9 mph mark.

Hunter Feduccia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup. Hunter Feduccia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Brandon Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This season, Yandy Diaz has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 91.9 mph mark. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6.2°) is significantly better than his 1.3° figure last year.

The 9th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Tristan Gray will have an advantage today. Batters such as Tristan Gray with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brad Lord who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Andres Chaparro will hold the platoon advantage over Ian Seymour in today's matchup. Andres Chaparro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Mangum's launch angle recently (4.7° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his -0.5° seasonal figure. With a .330 BABIP this year, Jake Mangum is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul DeJong's launch angle this season (23.3°) is quite a bit better than his 20° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Carson Williams has displayed some good exit velocity stats lately, averaging 103.4-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.