Miami @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Javier Sanoja has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93-mph over the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side this year. His .246 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Brett Baty has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Brett Baty has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Eric Wagaman has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the last two weeks. Eric Wagaman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eric Wagaman's true offensive ability to be a .308, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .281 wOBA.

Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec since the start of last season, Joey Wiemer is very fast.

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today. Liam Hicks has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. As it relates to plate discipline, Liam Hicks's ability is quite good, posting a 1.42 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 91st percentile.

Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Heriberto Hernandez has put up a .325 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck given the .042 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Otto Lopez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.2-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Nimmo is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently.

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week, Luis Torrens's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%. As it relates to his batting average, Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side this year. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .295. Luis Torrens grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate this year).

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Juan Soto is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jonah Tong. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .228 figure is a good deal lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Jeff McNeil is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Jeff McNeil will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Jeff McNeil's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 17.6%.

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jakob Marsee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Tong in today's matchup. Jakob Marsee has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 18.4% this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 28.1% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Extreme groundball hitters like Starling Marte tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Starling Marte has compiled a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week.

Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage over Jonah Tong in today's matchup. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Over the last week, Troy Johnston's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 16.7%. Over the last week, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph lately.