Pittsburgh @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game as none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness. David Hamilton has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Henry Davis in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Tommy Pham in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .227 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has had some very poor luck given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 14th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Roman Anthony's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes today.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Dustin May's huge platoon split, Liover Peguero will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Liover Peguero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Liover Peguero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Carlos Narvaez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Jared Triolo today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Alexander Canario in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.94 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Joey Bart has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.