Colorado @ Houston Picks & Props

Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Extreme groundball batters like Ezequiel Tovar generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Ezequiel Tovar's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (26° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43% to 51.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kyle Karros pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Kyle Karros has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Warming Bernabel in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Over the last two weeks, Ryan Ritter's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86-mph over the course of the season to 92.7-mph lately.

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Over the past two weeks, Jordan Beck's 21.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%. Sporting a .330 BABIP this year, Jordan Beck finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Tyler Freeman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 87.7-mph EV. Tyler Freeman's launch angle lately (23.5° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 8.3° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) suggests that Tyler Freeman has had some very poor luck this year with his .327 actual wOBA.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown today. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Mickey Moniak has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.2° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games. Mickey Moniak's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.4°) is quite a bit better than his 13.6° angle last season.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. In the last week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 21.1%. Brenton Doyle has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.5-mph. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.4% on the season to 26.3% in the past 7 days.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hunter Goodman has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past 14 days. Hunter Goodman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 39.3%.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.2-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Carlos Correa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Carlos Correa has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all parks. Jacob Melton will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Gordon in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jacob Melton stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jacob Melton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jacob Melton's launch angle recently (1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his -8.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Mauricio Dubon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.8-mph over the course of the season to 88.9-mph recently. Mauricio Dubon's launch angle lately (29° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12.7° seasonal figure. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 19.9%.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Tanner Gordon. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks, Victor Caratini's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph lately. Victor Caratini's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (23.7° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 13.8° seasonal figure. In notching a .270 batting average this year, Victor Caratini finds himself in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph lately.

Yainer Diaz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Yainer Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz's true offensive talent to be a .328, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA. Yainer Diaz has notched a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Walker has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 27.8% over the last week. Christian Walker has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Gordon today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.