Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill as the 20th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage today. Derek Hill has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) provides evidence that Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.

Javier Sanoja's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 86.2-mph. Javier Sanoja has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .247 BA is considerably lower than his .291 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Allen has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 48.6% on the season to 60.7% over the last two weeks. By putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile.

Sean Murphy's 14% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 87th percentile this year. Ranking in the 86th percentile, the hardest ball Sean Murphy has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Jurickson Profar has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Jurickson Profar's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.7%. Jurickson Profar has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Hurston Waldrep in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 80th percentile.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 18.2%. Heriberto Hernandez has posted a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 77th percentile. Placing in the 81st percentile, Heriberto Hernandez sits with a .266 batting average this year.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's game. Jakob Marsee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 70.7% on the season to 76.9% in the past week's worth of games. Jakob Marsee has been hot lately, putting up a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Using Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 86th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351. With a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Otto Lopez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure.

Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .034 discrepancy.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .230 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand today. This season, Matt Olson has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.9 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Matt Olson ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today's game. Michael Harris II has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last 7 days. Michael Harris II has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90-mph figure.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 16.5% this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.

Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .284. Posting a .273 batting average this year, Drake Baldwin has performed in the 79th percentile.

Troy Johnston will have the handedness advantage over Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Troy Johnston hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's game. Troy Johnston has been hot of late, posting a an 11.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past two weeks. Troy Johnston has been hot recently, compiling a 94-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games.