Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props

Nick Allen has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph to 90.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. In the past week, Matt Olson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph recently. With a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Matt Olson is positioned in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Jurickson Profar has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Jurickson Profar's launch angle in recent games (22.7° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 17.9° seasonal angle. Jurickson Profar has recorded a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Marcell Ozuna's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%. Marcell Ozuna has posted a .353 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a 1.32 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.5% rate last season to 16.8% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.7-mph mark.

Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Using Statcast data, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .283. With a .272 batting average this year, Drake Baldwin finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the past two weeks. Eric Wagaman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 100.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past 7 days, Eric Wagaman's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Wiemer will hold that advantage today. Joey Wiemer is very toolsy, placing in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec since the start of last season.

In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ozzie Albies has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has suffered from bad luck given the .032 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) suggests that Agustin Ramirez has been unlucky this year with his .232 actual batting average.

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the past week, Michael Harris II's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Javier Sanoja's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games. As it relates to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck this year. His .247 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks, Liam Hicks's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%. Liam Hicks has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side against Spencer Strider today. Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.8-mph over the course of the season to 91.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Otto Lopez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure.

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Heriberto Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 18.2%. Heriberto Hernandez has put up a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Heriberto Hernandez sits with a .266 batting average this year.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge in today's matchup. Jakob Marsee will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Jakob Marsee's 76.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 70.9%. Jakob Marsee has been hot of late, compiling a a 15.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand today. Troy Johnston hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure. Troy Johnston's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20% on the season to 26.7% in the past 14 days.