Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

BOS vs BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Hits Allowed
Tomoyuki Sugano logo Tomoyuki Sugano u5.5 Hits Allowed (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I’ve lost money trying to fade the Baltimore starter, but he is in great form and beating good offenses. He also gets a Sunday Night Baseball opponent at home which is a great spot. Tomoyuki Sugano has gone Under this number in five straight games and has seen Boston, Seattle, and the Cubs in that stretch. He just held the Red Sox to five hits and no earned runs and only threw 85 pitches. 
His leash is not long, even when he is on, and he comes into tonight’s matchup averaging 88 pitches per start over his last 10 games.  The Boston offense is in a let-down spot after a huge series vs. the Yankees and a poor offensive showing in the standalone prime-time game last night. THE BAT is projecting just 84 pitches today, and I’d buy this to -110.

Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Alex Bregman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Coby Mayo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Coby Mayo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.1) implies that Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side this year with his 17.8 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Brennan Bernardino in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Brennan Bernardino in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Alex Bregman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph figure.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Alex Bregman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph figure.
Total Bases
Ryan Mountcastle logo
Ryan Mountcastle o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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BOS vs BAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

64% picking Baltimore

36%
64%

Total PicksBOS 216, BAL 385

Moneyline
BOS
BAL

BOS vs BAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .295, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .074 deviation between that figure and his actual .221 wOBA. Connor Wong has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Connor Wong logo

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong's true offensive ability to be a .295, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .074 deviation between that figure and his actual .221 wOBA. Connor Wong has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Carlson
D. Carlson
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Carlson's launch angle of late (45° in the past week) is significantly better than his 18.7° seasonal figure.

Dylan Carlson logo

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Carlson's launch angle of late (45° in the past week) is significantly better than his 18.7° seasonal figure.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 mark is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 mark is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.

Roman Anthony logo

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Colton Cowser
C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Colton Cowser logo

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Coby Mayo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Coby Mayo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Coby Mayo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

Coby Mayo logo

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Coby Mayo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Coby Mayo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Coby Mayo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

Dylan Beavers Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Beavers
D. Beavers
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage in today's game. Dylan Beavers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Beavers logo

Dylan Beavers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage in today's game. Dylan Beavers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Alex Bregman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph figure.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Alex Bregman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph figure.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson logo

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Trevor Story has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Trevor Story has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game.

Jackson Holliday logo

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Carlos Narvaez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Carlos Narvaez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph. In the last 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Carlos Narvaez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Carlos Narvaez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph. In the last 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Boston

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

David Hamilton
D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.31 ft/sec this year, David Hamilton is notably athletic.

David Hamilton logo

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.31 ft/sec this year, David Hamilton is notably athletic.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Masataka Yoshida logo

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Jeremiah Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jeremiah Jackson
J. Jackson
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Jeremiah Jackson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage today.

Jeremiah Jackson logo

Jeremiah Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Jeremiah Jackson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle logo

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Vazquez Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Luis Vazquez
L. Vazquez
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Luis Vazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luis Vazquez has been hot lately, putting up a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past 7 days.

Luis Vazquez logo

Luis Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Luis Vazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luis Vazquez has been hot lately, putting up a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past 7 days.

Jhostynxon Garcia Total Hits Props • Boston

Jhostynxon Garcia
J. Garcia
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.20
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jhostynxon Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
All Orioles Money Leaders
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