Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.5-mph in the past week. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (6.7°) is considerably worse than his 10° figure last season. Alec Bohm's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (3.8° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 7.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .205 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.4-mph in the last 14 days. Posting a 4.55 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 11th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 12.9% on the season to 6.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games. J.T. Realmuto has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 3.52 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.5°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.283) suggests that Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year with his .300 actual batting average.

CJ Abrams's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.

Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Bryce Harper meets a tough challenge today.

Luis Garcia Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. Brady House has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.5-mph in the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Aaron Nola today. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Aaron Nola. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 7th-weakest among all the teams today. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 7th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 7th-weakest among all the teams today.

Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today. In the past 7 days, Riley Adams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 50%.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Weston Wilson will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 7th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.