San Francisco @ Milwaukee picks

The pitching matchup here favors the Brewers with Peralta going opposite Webb in this contest. If the Brewers aren't careful, they could see their lead in the NL Central go up in flames, so I'll trust the urgency here. They've been dominant in the second half of the season, and the Giants are just playing some bad baseball of late, dropping eight of their last 10 games. 

Through 26 starts this season, Freddy Peralta is 15-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally impressive. Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the 72nd percentile or higher in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Not only do the Brewers hold the edge in the starting pitching matchup, but they also boast a significant advantage at the plate. This season, Milwaukee ranks in the top three in runs scored per game, hits per game, batting average and on-base percentage.

 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Matt Chapman projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Matos has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph mark.

The San Francisco Giants have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season. It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches in this game.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Freddy Peralta today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 35.3° mark in the last week's worth of games.

The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Blake Perkins will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Blake Perkins has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.