Houston @ Baltimore props

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena in today's game. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena today. Over the past 14 days, Jeremy Pena's 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Mauricio Dubon has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.1% to 19.5% this season. Mauricio Dubon has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is quite a bit lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Vazquez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Vazquez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristian Javier. Luis Vazquez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luis Vazquez has been hot recently, notching a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the past week.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Dean Kremer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's 13.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz today. Yainer Diaz's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.6-mph over the past two weeks. Yainer Diaz's launch angle lately (0.8° in the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 10.9° seasonal mark.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Walker has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the past two weeks. Christian Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .025 deviation.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Coby Mayo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.2-mph over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) provides evidence that Coby Mayo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .201 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. Jacob Melton will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Jacob Melton has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 92.7-mph in the last week. Jacob Melton's launch angle in recent games (2.7° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his -8.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck this year. His .308 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Sporting a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Carlos Correa finds himself in the 84th percentile. By putting up a .276 batting average this year, Carlos Correa has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. Batting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Dean Kremer. Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 14 days, Victor Caratini has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. Colton Cowser will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. Dylan Beavers will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Beavers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .432.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed base hits. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.