New York @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
NYY vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings MoneyLine

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I like the way this sets up for the Rays to get after Cam Schlittler. He’s almost exclusively some variety of fastball thrower, with the heater making up nearly 80% of his arsenal. This Rays lineup ranks just inside the top ten in various metrics when facing the heater, which gives me confidence that they’ll have success against the average stuff he’s shown this year — especially with the balmy conditions and hitter-friendly park.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 venue in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB's 4th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 venue in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 venue in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 venue in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Drew Rasmussen u14.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 14.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Drew Rasmussen is projected to throw 77 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the New York Yankees.. Chad Fairchild grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 8th-best park in the league for home runs.. In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.