Chicago @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Michael Harris II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 42.4% on the season to 36.4% over the last 7 days. Michael Harris II's 7.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the league: 8th percentile. Placing in the 22nd percentile, Michael Harris II sits with a .295 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II's skill is quite bad, putting up a 7.23 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 1st percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Edgar Quero has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.6% down to 0%. In the past week, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.3%. Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .300 rate is considerably higher than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%.

Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder today. Josh Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Chase Meidroth has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Kyle Teel's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky this year, compiling a .288 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .034 deviation.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%.

Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 88%.

Curtis Mead has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.