St. Louis @ Miami Picks & Props

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. In the past week, Otto Lopez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 14.5% on the season to 5% over the last 14 days. Otto Lopez has notched a .255 BABIP this year, grading out in the 9th percentile.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Matthew Liberatore today. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5°) is considerably lower than his 10.8° figure last season.

Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez today. Nathan Church may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. In the past week, Thomas Saggese's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 15.4%. In the past 14 days, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.5-mph of late. Thomas Saggese's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 24.2% on the season to 30.8% in the past 7 days. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Thomas Saggese sports a .323 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Over the last two weeks, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph of late. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Lars Nootbaar may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 21.6°, Nolan Gorman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (18°) over the last two weeks.

Pedro Pages has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 16.2% on the season to 29.4% over the last 14 days.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.3-mph EV. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, compiling a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .037 difference.

Javier Sanoja's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Javier Sanoja will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Compared to last year, Willson Contreras has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.1% this season. Over the past 14 days, Willson Contreras's 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Derek Hill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Derek Hill has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Ivan Herrera with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eury Perez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Posting a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 85th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an advantage today. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Eric Wagaman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Eric Wagaman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.1% to 23.1%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Jakob Marsee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Jakob Marsee has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .513. Compiling a 91.8-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks, Jakob Marsee has been in great form in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Dane Myers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Heriberto Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has notched a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Joey Wiemer will have an edge in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Wiemer will hold that advantage today. Joey Wiemer has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 21.3° angle is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (94th percentile).

Yohel Pozo has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.