Philadelphia @ Washington picks

The Nats are sixth-last in runs per game at home and should not see as much of the returning Aaron Nolas as they'll see the Phillies' second-ranked bullpen by xFIP in August. Mitchell Parker blanked Philly over 6 1/3 innings in his first start of 2025, and the Phils are 22nd in road runs per game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game.. Dylan Crews has averaged 25 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 84th percentile for power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.. When it comes to power, Bryce Harper is positioned in the 81st percentile, having paced 27.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.. Paul DeJong has paced 27.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today.. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Riley Adams has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game.. Grading out in the 81st percentile for power, Riley Adams has averaged 23 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.