Philadelphia @ Washington Picks & Props

PHI vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Washington Nationals logo u9.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Nats are sixth-last in runs per game at home and should not see as much of the returning Aaron Nolas as they'll see the Phillies' second-ranked bullpen by xFIP in August. Mitchell Parker blanked Philly over 6 1/3 innings in his first start of 2025, and the Phils are 22nd in road runs per game.

Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game.. Dylan Crews has averaged 25 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 84th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.. When it comes to power, Bryce Harper is positioned in the 81st percentile, having paced 27.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.. Paul DeJong has paced 27.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today.. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Riley Adams has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game.. Grading out in the 81st percentile for power, Riley Adams has averaged 23 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Harrison Bader logo
Harrison Bader o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
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PHI vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Philadelphia

62%
38%

Total PicksPHI 396, WAS 247

Moneyline
PHI
WAS

PHI vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos today.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos today.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dylan Crews has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Mitchell Parker will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Mitchell Parker will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Jose Tena logo

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brady House has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brady House has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 14th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 14th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Drew Millas Total Hits Props • Washington

Drew Millas
D. Millas
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Drew Millas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Drew Millas logo

Drew Millas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Drew Millas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Otto Kemp's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Otto Kemp logo

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Otto Kemp's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Daylen Lile's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Daylen Lile's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an advantage in today's game.

Edmundo Sosa logo

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an advantage in today's game.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game.

Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Weston Wilson
W. Wilson
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Weston Wilson logo

Weston Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders

Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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