Detroit @ Chicago Picks & Props

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Curtis Mead has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Curtis Mead's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 50.9% this season. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Zach McKinstry has put up a .331 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Smith in today's game. Colt Keith has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Spencer Torkelson has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 14.6% this season.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Miguel Vargas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Trey Sweeney will have the handedness advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .027 discrepancy.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's matchup. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup. Riley Greene has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Tauchman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Dillon Dingler has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 94-mph over the past 14 days. Dillon Dingler has compiled a .328 BABIP this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Colson Montgomery has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Lenyn Sosa has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Edgar Quero has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Edgar Quero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kyle Teel is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Shane Smith in today's game. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.4% this season. In the last two weeks, Wenceel Perez's 65.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Javier Baez has put up a .326 BABIP this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.