Colorado @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
COL vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Cardinals have been sneaky against southpaws with a fifth-ranked wOBA and the third-highest on-base percentage since the All-Star break, so this won’t be an easy test for Freeland. Plus, the veteran lefty sports a miserable 5.27 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 4.71 xFIP while allowing a healthy .358 wOBA on the highway since the beginning of the 2023 campaign.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most humidity on the slate at 77%.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.
Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most humidity on the slate at 78%.. Jordan Beck will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Brenton Doyle will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage today.. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.. Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Outs Recorded

Matthew Liberatore o15.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
Projection 16.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.. Tom Hanahan projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst venue in the majors for home runs.. The 2nd-deepest right field fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Braxton Fulford o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most humidity on the slate at 76%.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Braxton Fulford will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most humidity on the slate at 76%.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.
Total Bases

Brendan Donovan o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most humidity on the slate at 77%.. Brendan Donovan is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.