Philadelphia @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
PHI vs TEX Picks
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Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Zack Wheeler is in the midst of another Cy Young-caliber season, boasting a 2.64 ERA and 0.92 WHIP entering Sunday’s matchup in Arlington. With Patrick Corbin surrendering a .314/.402/.504 slash line to Phillies batters, the road team will pull away at Globe Life Field.
Strikeouts Thrown


Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Harrison Bader o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. In the last 14 days, Harrison Bader's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently.. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37.3° figure over the past week.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 20.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. In the last two weeks, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph of late.
Total RBIs

Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 20.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks.
Total Bases

Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last year to 15.7% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Joc Pederson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Jung o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Josh Jung has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days.