Miami @ Atlanta Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Derek Hill has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph mark. In terms of his batting average, Derek Hill has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Allen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Nick Allen has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week, Eric Wagaman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 33.3%. Eric Wagaman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 15.8% on the season to 42.9% over the last week.

In today's game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.1% rate (97th percentile). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6°) is significantly worse than his 10.8° mark last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) implies that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side this year with his .303 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Graham Pauley will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Graham Pauley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph of late.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Otto Lopez will have a disadvantage in today's game. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has recorded a .262 BABIP this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game.

Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Liam Hicks's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game. Ozzie Albies has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92.8-mph over the past 7 days.

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jakob Marsee will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup.

Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luke Williams will hold that advantage in today's game. Luke Williams has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .211 mark is deflated compared to his .239 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luke Williams is quite toolsy, grading out in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Troy Johnston will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Troy Johnston has been hot lately, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) suggests that Agustin Ramirez has had some very poor luck this year with his .240 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara. Vidal Brujan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.