Miami @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
MIA vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Erick Fedde o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134)
Projection 4.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tallying 92.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Erick Fedde ranks in the 81st percentile.. The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Derek Hill, Kyle Stowers, Heriberto Hernandez).. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Sean Murphy (the Braves's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for strikeouts.. Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Erick Fedde will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the past week, Eric Wagaman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 33.3%.. Eric Wagaman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 15.8% on the season to 42.9% over the last week.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game.. Ozzie Albies has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs

Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Liam Hicks is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's game.. Over the last week, Liam Hicks's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.8%.