Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 park in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chandler Simpson in today's game. Chandler Simpson has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84-mph dropping to 79.7-mph over the last week.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Hunter Feduccia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today's game. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Cole Young has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

Taylor Walls has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.9%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 19.9% on the season to 28.6% over the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck this year. His .222 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

J.P. Crawford's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage today. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. J.P. Crawford has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.7% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6.3°) is significantly higher than his 1.3° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Junior Caminero has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 96.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV. Dominic Canzone has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Julio Rodriguez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.9% to 17%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jake Mangum has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Jake Mangum has recorded a .277 batting average this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Donovan Solano will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The standard deviation of Donovan Solano's launch angle this year (25.8°) is in the 77th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play. Donovan Solano has posted a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Tristan Gray will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Ha-Seong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.