Busch Stadium
Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Seiya Suzuki faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Michael Busch pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Busch's true offensive ability to be a .341, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .027 difference between that mark and his actual .368 wOBA.
Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Tucker in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 23.6% to 19%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 45.8% to 52.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.8% to 49%. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, posting a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .024 gap.
Willi Castro's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.
When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Using Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 94th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .290. Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 90th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate. Nico Hoerner has compiled a .296 batting average this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pedro Pages will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today. Pedro Pages has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 14 days. In the last two weeks, Pedro Pages's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Thomas Saggese will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage today. Thomas Saggese has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.86 ft/sec to 28.47 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Michael McGreevy in today's game. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 48.4% on the season to 62.5% in the last 7 days.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.7% to 17.5%. Carson Kelly has put up a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carson Kelly has performed in the 91st percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Carson Kelly's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.22 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 95th percentile.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Matt Shaw has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week. In the past 14 days, Matt Shaw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph lately. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) suggests that Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck this year with his .222 actual batting average.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Ivan Herrera's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Garrett Hampson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today. Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Garrett Hampson will hold that advantage in today's game. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 17.9% to 22%.
