Chicago @ St. Louis picks

Lefties are slashing .301/.346/.452 against Cardinals SP Michael McGreevy, leading to a 1.50 WHIP. Of Ian Happ's 166 career home runs, 136 have come against RHP, against whom he has a 122 wRC+. Facing a pitcher who doesn't miss bats in favorable hitting conditions, Happ will clear his HRRBI prop with ease.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ivan Herrera's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.8% to 49%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Boyd faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Considering the 1.46 difference between Matthew Boyd's 2.34 ERA and his 3.80 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should perform worse in the future.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 93°.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pedro Pages will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.. Pedro Pages has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 14 days.