Chicago @ Seattle picks

Kirby is starting to look like the guy who earned his first career All-Star selection last season. The right-hander is pitching to a 2.61 ERA while limiting opponents to a .191 batting average over his last seven starts. While the White Sox have been better in the second half, they still rank dead last in batting average and OPS vs. RHP this season. Kriby has stayed below this number in four of his last seven starts and at plus money, I love backing him to do it again tonight.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, George Kirby's overall pitching talent grades out in the 91st percentile among all starters in the game right now.. George Kirby has averaged 91.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.. The Chicago White Sox projected offense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.. Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby in today's game.. Josh Rojas has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 94.1-mph in the past 7 days.. When it comes to his batting average, Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year. His .174 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .206.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 15th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon is a pitch-to-contact type (17th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Curtis Mead has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 12.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Grading out in the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Curtis Mead has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.