Athletics @ Washington picks
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ATH vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Wood is mired in a 4-for-40 funk with a pedestrian .143 wOBA, .282 OPS and unsustainably low .222 BABIP across his past 10 games, so a home date facing Athletics Luis Severino sets up as a slump-busting matchup. Severino has surrendered a healthy .342 wOBA to left-handed bats on the highway, and Wood sports a .361 mark against righties.
Total RBIs

JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total RBIs

Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Utilizing Statcast data, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340.
Total RBIs

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nicholas Kurtz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicholas Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Nicholas Kurtz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nicholas Kurtz's 53.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.4%.. Grading out in the 99th percentile, Nicholas Kurtz has posted a .427 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Luis Severino in today's matchup.. Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Brent Rooker will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Brent Rooker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Compared to last year, Brent Rooker has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.1% to 48.1% this season.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total RBIs

Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.. Brady House will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Based on Statcast data, Brady House grades out in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.