San Francisco @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
SF vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the majors's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Matt Chapman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Over the last 14 days, Matt Chapman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.2% to 23.1%.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Over the past 7 days, Willy Adames's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 21.4%.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Logan Webb.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.. Sporting a .330 BABIP this year, Heliot Ramos finds himself in the 87th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Over the past 7 days, Willy Adames's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 21.4%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Grant McCray o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Burrows today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.. In the past week, Grant McCray has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jack Suwinski o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage today.. Jack Suwinski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9% rate last year to 14.3% this season.