Kansas City @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
KC vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game.
Total RBIs

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Roman Anthony has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Bailey Falter u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 14.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Bailey Falter's overall pitching ability ranks in the 19th percentile among all starters in the league currently.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bailey Falter is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. In MLB, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

John Rave o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, John Rave will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. John Rave has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph mark.
Outs Recorded

Brayan Bello u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. In MLB, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Brayan Bello (50% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Kansas City's projected lineup.. Brayan Bello's 94.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.2-mph decrease from last year's 95.7-mph figure.
Total Bases

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.