Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 15% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Cole Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Cole Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days.

Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, Jonah Heim has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.5° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, compiling a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .017 deviation.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Evans throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. In terms of his batting average, Joc Pederson has been unlucky this year. His .129 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .198.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Evans throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Josh Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.7-mph. Josh Smith has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage today. J.P. Crawford has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year. His .265 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Evans in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.1% rate last year to 14.9% this season. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12% to 17.4%. Rowdy Tellez has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .221 rate is a good deal lower than his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game. Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.4-mph average. With a .299 batting average this year, Dominic Canzone is ranked in the 93rd percentile.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average. Jorge Polanco has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 84th percentile with a 1.61 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has posted a .371 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph mark. In the past 7 days, Wyatt Langford's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%. Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck given the .029 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last year's 14.8° to 18.5° this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 25%. Kyle Higashioka has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph. Kyle Higashioka's launch angle of late (28.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 18.6° seasonal mark. Sporting a .279 batting average this year, Kyle Higashioka is ranked in the 84th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. There has been a significant improvement in Marcus Semien's launch angle from last year's 16.7° to 19.8° this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) may lead us to conclude that Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side this year with his .297 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.