Texas @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
TEX vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Strikeouts Thrown

Jacob deGrom u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+135)
Projection 6.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob deGrom to throw 85 pitches in this game (12th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. John Libka profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.. With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob deGrom will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob deGrom today.
Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph mark.. In the past 7 days, Wyatt Langford's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.. Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck given the .029 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Julio Rodriguez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last year's 14.8° to 18.5° this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.
Outs Recorded

Jacob deGrom u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob deGrom to throw 85 pitches in this game (12th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The 5th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. John Libka profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.. Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob deGrom will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game.. Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Dominic Canzone has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.4-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-141)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Cole Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the last week, Cole Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph lately.