Pittsburgh @ Colorado Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 94.7 mph to 87.9 mph. From last year to this one, Andrew McCutchen's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 12.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Henry Davis has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last two weeks. Henry Davis has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88-mph EV.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Yanquiel Fernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Joey Bart has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today. Over the last week, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.7-mph in the past week. In the last week, Bryan Reynolds's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Hunter Goodman will not have the upper hand in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year. His .360 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289. With a 4.98 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 8th percentile.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Beck today. Jordan Beck's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.9-mph in the last two weeks. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .042 deviation. With a 3.95 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Beck has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 20th percentile.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Mickey Moniak has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive ability to be a .313, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 deviation between that figure and his actual .360 wOBA. Mickey Moniak has displayed bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.39 K/BB rate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today's game. Oneil Cruz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 21% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days. Checking in at the 9th percentile, Oneil Cruz has posted a .213 batting average this year.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Freeman in today's game. Over the past week, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 89.5 mph to 87.4 mph. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this year (8.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.9° figure last season. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.1°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.7°) in the last two weeks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Tommy Pham will not have the upper hand in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tommy Pham today. Last season, Tommy Pham had a launch angle of 9.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 5.7°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) implies that Tommy Pham has had some very good luck this year with his .272 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 22nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Thairo Estrada will not have the upper hand in today's game. Thairo Estrada has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Ezequiel Tovar meets a tough challenge in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Liover Peguero ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Liover Peguero is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Liover Peguero faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Liover Peguero today.

Warming Bernabel is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Warming Bernabel in today's game.