Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Sam Haggerty has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.78 ft/sec to 28.95 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Smith's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 79th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Cole Young will have an edge today. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Cole Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .293 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.6-mph in the last week. Wyatt Langford's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 41% on the season to 68.8% in the last week's worth of games.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 14.9% this year. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12% to 17.6%.

Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph average. Mitch Garver has displayed some good exit velocity statistics recently, averaging 98.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.283) suggests that J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (19.8°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° angle last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has recorded a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Adolis Garcia has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.9% to 18.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph EV.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 23.1%.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Kyle Higashioka has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16% over the last two weeks. Kyle Higashioka has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.7-mph in the last two weeks. Kyle Higashioka's launch angle of late (24.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 18.3° seasonal angle.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jorge Polanco's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.3-mph now compared to just 88.3-mph then. Jorge Polanco has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.9% to 25%.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.3-mph average. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Dominic Canzone sports a .298 batting average this year.