Texas @ Seattle picks

Luis Castillo’s last two starts against Texas have seen the Mariners right-hander limit the Rangers to two earned runs over 12 strong innings. With Merrill Kelly also still pitching at a high level (133 ERA+), a low-scoring affair will be in store at T-Mobile Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today.. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (19.8°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° angle last season.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph EV.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. The weather report forecasts the best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Merrill Kelly. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (36.9) suggests that Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck this year with his 52.8 actual HR/600.

The Seattle Mariners projected lineup projects as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Jean) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.. Merrill Kelly has utilized his slider 5% less often this season (6.8%) than he did last year (11.8%).

Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Mitch Garver has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph average.. Mitch Garver has displayed some good exit velocity statistics recently, averaging 98.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today.

Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today.. Sam Haggerty has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.78 ft/sec to 28.95 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Sam Haggerty has posted a .263 batting average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.